Chicago Bears Week 3 Recap / Week 4 Preview
Chicago Bears at Cleveland Browns Recap
The Bears got crushed 26-6 at Cleveland last week. It was so miserable that we didn’t feel like writing about it. What’s the point? It was an awful, miserable, disastrous performance for Head Coach Matt Nagy. If that game didn’t scream, “Fire Me”, then what would? It’s easy to see that Nagy is in over his head. He simply can’t function as an effective offensive play caller while also performing his job as head coach. And what’s up with that play sheet? “BE YOU”…. more like “Pee-yew”. It should be less “BE YOU” and more “BE AWESOME like a Championship Coach”.
In “Dutch Lion’s” opinion, Nagy is done. His time as Bears head coach is over. Whether he’s fired now or on Black Monday (the day after the regular season ends), it’s over. GM Ryan Pace should fire him as soon as possible to let the world know that Chicago’s head job is open. Meanwhile, Bill Lazor could be named interim head coach. He can also call plays which would be more effective than Nagy’s offense. Remember how Lazor called plays toward the end of last season and Chicago’s offense started functioning well with Mitch Trubisky at QB?
If the Bears lose at home this Sunday versus one of the worst teams in the NFL, the Detroit Lions, then Nagy might be fired as soon as Monday morning. Even if he keeps the job through the end of the season, Nagy is done. One way or another, it’s over. You can put it on the board, Nagy’s coaching career in Chicago is over.
Detroit Lions (0-3) at Chicago Bears (1-2)
“Dutch Lion” is torn on his selection this week. He takes great pride in his Bears predictions. Finishing 14-3 last year was a great feat, one which he’s very proud of, especially when Chicago finished 8-8. When a team is that mediocre, they are hard to handicap. “Dutch” beat all the Chicago Tribune writers last year and hopes to beat all the Chicago Sun-Times writers this year. He’s 3-0 so far and would love to make it 4-0 this week. However, how does one pick the Bears to win after last week’s embarrassment? On the other hand, how does anyone (ANYONE) pick the Detroit Lions?
Our first thought this week was, if Andy Dalton returns as starting quarterback, we’ll pick the Bears to win. If Justin Fields starts, he’s just too inexperienced and with Nagy’s putrid play-calling, we can’t in our right minds pick Chicago. However, the more we’re analyzing this game, we think the Bears defense is the strongest unit on the field on Sunday. With the home-field advantage of Soldier Field providing the backdrop, we might dare to pick the Bears. Let’s see what the numbers suggest.
Troy Aikman’s Efficiency Ratings (AER)
- Detroit Lions (0-3) : 12th offense, 30th defense
- Chicago Bears (1-2) : 29th offense, 12th defense
- Detroit Lions : 29th overall, 22nd offense, 31st defense, 18th special teams
- Chicago Bears : 28th overall, 31st offense, 9th defense, 21st special teams
- Detroit Lions : 30th overall
- Chicago Bears : 27th overall, #2 home-field advantage in the NFL
Sports Betting Dime
- Chicago Bears are favored by three points according to SportsBettingDime.com. In their matchup analysis, they have Chicago winning by about ten points, 28-18.
Last week’s predicted score: Cleveland Browns 27 Chicago Bears 13
Last week’s final score: Cleveland Browns 26 Chicago Bears 6
2021 Season: Chicago Bears 1-2, Dutch Lion 3-0
2020 Season: Chicago Bears 8-9, Dutch Lion 14-3
This Week’s Prediction:
Chicago had beaten Detroit five straight times until last year’s debacle at Soldier Field on December 6. Remember that one? On a big third down, Allen Robinson stepped out of bounds before he achieved the first down even though the marker was RIGHT IN FRONT OF HIS EYES. Then on the proceeding play the Bears flubbed the 4th down conversion, fumbling the game away. The Lions won 34-30.
On paper, this is the easiest game of the year for the Bears. Detroit is notoriously bad. The Bears are pretty good at home at Soldier Field. It’s an NFC North division game and those games are typically hard fought games won by the home teams. Nagy, for all his faults, is 5-1 in his short career against the Lions.
The flip side is Detroit’s new coach Dan Campbell is a gem, at least in his press conferences. Jared Goff is playing pretty well at quarterback. Despite their 0-3 record, the Lions lost at home to San Francisco 41-33 in a furious comeback attempt. They lost big at Green Bay, 35-17 in Week 2. Then they lost a heartbreaker to Baltimore in Detroit 19-17. They had the game all but won against the Ravens but somehow gave up a 4th and long conversion to Lamar Jackson, and then watched as a world-record 66 yard field goal by All-World kicker Justin Tucker hit the crossbar and bounced into the net as time expired. The fight they showed was impressive. The defeat was miserable. How will the Lions respond after that disaster?
This is the kind of game in which we don’t want to pick either team to win. Both teams find ways to lose games. The only victory by either of these teams this season was when Chicago beat Cincinnati 20-17 in Week 2. In that game, the Bears defense was the difference. Can the D do it again? Very hesitantly, we’ll pick Chicago to beat Detroit in a low-scoring affair, but we’ll take Detroit to beat the three point spread. PICK: Chicago
Chicago Bears 13 Detroit Lions 12